The upcoming general election is Theresa May’s chance to completely cripple the Labour party.
She has skillfully called a snap election with the timing on her side, not to mention a weak opposition and an unelectable Labour party leader, Jeremy Corbyn.
Mrs May’s best chance of securing up to 58 currently Labour held seats are to target constituencies with a large Leave voter majority, but a small Labour held majority (anything below a 9,000 vote majority).
Halifax is a perfect example – Labour has a majority of 428 votes, but Brexit in Halifax had a 21,000+ majority.
It’s these kinds of swing seats that will break the Labour party.
Many view the Conservatives to be their only realistic hope of a hard Brexit that the people voted for. This included the desire to leave the single market, customs union and once again regain control our own borders.
On the other hand, Mr Corbyn’s party would prefer to leave the EU in name only.
The seats which Mrs May will target the most are shown below (the current Labour majority is shown on the right):
|Barrow & Furness||795|
|Wolverhampton South West||801|
|Lancaster & Fleetwood||1,265|
|Derbyshire North East||1,883|
|Middlesbrough South & Cleveland East||2,268|
|Alyn & Deeside||3,343|
|Bolton North East||4,377|
|Coventry North West||4,509|
The Conservatives are currently polling at around 43 percent, according to the latest average – 16 points clear of Labour on 27 per cent.
This would constitute a swing of 4.5 per cent compared with the 2015 election results.
Only time will tell how well each party does, but right now it is not looking great for the Labour party.