A shock poll conducted by YouGov shows the Conservatives are set to lose their current majority in parliament, sparking fears of a coalition of chaos
The Daily Express reported that:
“The calamitous news for Theresa May comes from the first seat by seat projection for the campaign, and suggests the Conservatives will fall 16 seats short of an overall majority.
The YouGov prediction would leave Theresa May with 310 MPs – 20 fewer than at the time of dissolution of the last Parliament – while Labour are set to surge from 229 to 257 MPs on June 8 election, a gain of 28 seats in the Commons.
The shocking scenario could leave Theresa May’s hand weakened ahead of Brexit negotiations – or see her ousted by an opposing coalition government.
Theresa May struggled to pass controversial bills, including changing rules on tax credits, with a 17 seat majority before calling the election.”
Let’s not forget that polls have been wrong in the past. I recall the Brexit vote and Trump’s victory.
I do find it hard to believe that even with the vast majority of the UKIP vote, the Conservatives will still lose more than 20 seats according to the latest poll.
This is a major difference compared to previous polls a few weeks ago which put the Tories on a 19 point lead over Labour.
Theresa May has said she only needs to lose 6 seats for there to be a coalition of chaos formed against the Conservative party.
For such coalition to appear, every single political party other than the Conservatives would have to meet, agree and discuss and combine forces, which in the grand scheme of things is very unlikely.